Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty 1st edition by Vincent Marchau, Warren Walker 3030052516 978-3030052515

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ISBN 10: 3030052516
ISBN 13: 978-3030052515
Author:  Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker, Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen, Steven W. Popper 

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty 1st Table of contents:

1 Introduction

Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker,

Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen and Steven W. Popper

Part I DMDU Approaches

2 Robust Decision Making (RDM)

R. J. Lempert

3 Dynamic Adaptive Planning (DAP)

Warren E. Walker, Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and Jan H. Kwakkel

4 Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP).

Marjolijn Haasnoot, Andrew Warren and Jan H. Kwakkel

5 Info-Gap Decision Theory (IG)

Yakov Ben-Haim

6 Engineering Options Analysis (EOA)

Richard de Neufville and Kim Smet

Part II DMDU Applications

7 Robust Decision Making (RDM): Application to Water Planning and Climate Policy

David G. Groves, Edmundo Molina-Perez, Evan Bloom and Jordan R. Fischbach

8 Dynamic Adaptive Planning (DAP): The Case of Intelligent Speed Adaptation

Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker and Jan-Willem G. M. van der Pas

9 Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP): From Theory to Practice.

Judy Lawrence, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Laura McKim, Dayasiri Atapattu, Graeme Campbell and Adolf Stroombergen.

10 Info-Gap (IG): Robust Design of a Mechanical Latch.

François M. Hemez and Kendra L. Van Buren

11 Engineering Options Analysis (EOA): Applications

Richard de Neufville, Kim Smet, Michel-Alexandre Cardin and Mehdi Ranjbar-Bourani

Part III DMDU-Implementation Processes

12 Decision Scaling (DS): Decision Support for Climate Change….

Casey Brown, Scott Steinschneider, Patrick Ray, Sungwook Wi, Leon Basdekas and David Yates

13 A Conceptual Model of Planned Adaptation (PA).

Jesse Sowell

14 DMDU into Practice: Adaptive Delta Management in The Netherlands

Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen, Floris Hammer, Maarten J. van der Vlist, Pieter Grinwis and Jos van Alphen.

Part IV DMDU-Synthesis

15 Supporting DMDU: A Taxonomy of Approaches and Tools….

Jan H. Kwakkel and Marjolijn Haasnoot

16 Reflections: DMDU and Public Policy for Uncertain Times

Steven W. Popper

17 Conclusions and Outlook

Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker, Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen and Steven W. Popper.

Correction to: Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP): From Theory to Practice

Judy Lawrence, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Laura McKim, Dayasiri Atapattu, Graeme Campbell and Adolf Stroombergen.

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